Latin America's Swing to the Middle

Latin America's Swing to the Middle

For the past five years, Peru's economy has had one of the most remarkable runs in Latin America. With the exception of recession-smothered 2009, the Andes nation has generated remarkable annual economic growth above 7% and as high as 10%. But even so, a third of Peruvians still live in poverty (although that's down from an appalling 54% a decade ago). And as the esteemed Peruvian economist Hernando de Soto said recently, they're “knocking on the door of the public's conscience. [They're] saying, ‘I am not happy because I am not participating'” in the Peruvian party.

They did, however, take part in Peru's June 5 presidential election, and not surprisingly they voted in the guy who they believe can help them get a bigger scoop of all that wealth. The fact that the guy is Ollanta Humala – a leftist who led a failed coup in 2000 as an army officer and has been an acolyte of Venezuela's socialist President Hugo Chávez – sent Peru's stock market plummeting this week, as expected. But what Humala-phobic investors didn't quite catch is that there's another big reason a majority of Peruvians elected him: they realize that poverty can't be reduced if prosperity declines as well, and they're convinced that Humala has renounced Chavista leftism for a more pragmatic, Third Way approach – the same development strategy they've seen work so impressively in neighboring Brazil and Chile.

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