April 30, 2012

Assad's Logic Turns Syria into Lebanon

Faisal al Yafai, The National

AP Photo

The younger Assad has tried to do in Homs what his father did in Hama. In many cases, the tactics - surrounding and besieging the city, using devastating force in civilian areas - are essentially identical.

Yet the world has changed. The communications revolution and increasing interconnectedness make that strategy less and less likely to succeed. Indeed, the presence of international observers on the ground in Syria today, and the bellicose stance of Syria's neighbours, show how difficult it is to apply the model.

Rather, if Assad the younger has time to study history, he would do well to consider two other political dilemmas of the 1980s: one as a model, the other as a warning.

Read Full Article ››

TAGGED: Lebanon, Syria, Bashar al-Assad, Homs

RECOMMENDED ARTICLES

April 17, 2012
The Syrian Cease-Fire That Wasn't
Michael Weiss, Telegraph Blogs
What's the point of diplomacy no one believes in? The Emir of Qatar has given Kofi Annan’s six-point plan for bringing peace to Syria and opening political “dialogue” a three per cent chance of success, which is several... more ››
April 17, 2012
Why the Alawites Back Assad
Leon Goldsmith, Foreign Affairs
Since the start of the revolt in Syria, the country’s Alawites have been instrumental in maintaining President Bashar al-Assad’s hold on power. A sect of Shia Islam, the Alawites comprise roughly 13 percent of the population... more ››
Any exaggerated portrayal of a foreign problem is an impediment to well-reasoned construction of policy for dealing with the problem. The appeal of the map-wiping or Earth-face-wiping imagery seems to make such exaggeration... more ››
April 18, 2012
Assad Is an Arab Problem - Not America's
Buck Sexton, National Review
In a region that generally soaked itself in post-colonial pity until the Arab Spring, a unique opportunity presents itself for Muslims to take the reins and free an oppressed Sunni population. more ››