May 17, 2012

Iran Must Choose Enmity or Economy

Ray Takeyh, Financial Times

AP Photo

Diplomacy is reclaiming a role in Iran's nuclear drama, but little attention is being paid to a conflict of interests that is likely to complicate Tehran's path to a settlement. The objectives of the western powers are clear: a series of confidence-building measures yielding a durable arms control agreement. Iran's Supreme Leader, however, has to reconcile opposing aims. Ali Khamenei needs America as an enemy and a robust nuclear infrastructure to legitimise his rule. For a long time, he believed he could advance the nuclear programme at a tolerable cost to Iran's economy. Yet now, persisting with convenient enmities will further erode the economy – and could threaten his hold on power. Washington's latest diplomatic gambit depends on whether Ayatollah Khamenei can...

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TAGGED: Iran, Ali Khamenei


May 9, 2012
Will New Partner Restrain Bibi on Iran?
Meir Javedanfar, The Diplomat
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Iran policy has come under intense criticism recently, most notably from former Mossad Chief Meir Dagan and Yuval Diskin, former head of domestic intelligence agency Shabak. The... more ››
May 9, 2012
Spinning Iran-al-Qaeda Ties
Long War Journal
Do Osama bin Laden's files disprove the idea that al Qaeda and Iran collude against their common enemies? The answer to that question would be affirmative, according to a report published by the Combating Terrorism Center (CTC)... more ››
May 8, 2012
Is Isolation Pushing Iran Toward Nukes?
Praveen Swami, The Hindu
There is no consensus that Tehran is about to develop atomic weapons, but harsh sanctions might give it reason to do so. more ››