Ukraine, Geopolitics and Miscalculation

Ukraine, Geopolitics and Miscalculation

Two years into his presidency, Viktor Yanukovych's professed foreign policy of balancing Ukraine's relations with the West and Russia appears to lie in shambles. The European Union has frozen signature of the association agreement and free trade arrangement. He had to cancel his Central European summit in Yalta because most of the invitees declined to attend, and NATO leaders in Chicago displayed little desire for bilateral meetings with him. Meanwhile, Moscow shows no interest in granting Kyiv's most fervent request-a lower price for natural gas-unless Ukraine surrenders control of its gas transport system or joins the Customs Union, the latter of which would kill the EU free trade arrangement.

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