October 5, 2012

Hugo Chavez Might Actually Lose

Francisco Toro, The New Republic

AP Photo

The presidential election in Venezuela this Sunday really shouldn’t be this close. Counting on his legendary charisma and a dizzying oil boom that has brought nearly $1 trillion into state coffers during his tenure, Hugo Chávez probably thought he could coast to a third six-year term.

But then, reality went off-script. The comfortable poll lead he’d held for most of the year vanished in the last ten days. As the campaign draws to an end, Sunday’s vote is best seen as a toss-up. What happened?

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TAGGED: Henrique Capriles, Venezuela, Hugo Chavez


The election has a geopolitical significance well beyond Venezuela. The continent’s politically predominant left has polarised between supporters of a Chávez-Castro axis, encouraged by Venezuelan oil money and Cuban doctors,... more ››
October 5, 2012
Win or Lose, Capriles May Win
Andres Oppenheimer, Miami Herald
If Capriles gets close to 50 percent of the vote, he will play his cards well, and will not allow his political momentum to evaporate. He is not likely to cry fraud if he loses by a margin that he can’t dispute, because doing... more ››
October 5, 2012
Decision Time for Hugo Chavez
John Graham, Globe and Mail
for the first time as President, you face an opposition leader, Henrique Capriles, who might possibly defeat you in the Oct. 7 election. Unlike the campaign playing field, which you have tilted sharply in your favour, you have... more ››
October 5, 2012
In Venezuela, Everything's in Play
Juan Nagel, Foreign Policy
This Sunday's presidential election between Chávez and challenger Henrique Capriles is crucial for the country, as any victory is bound to have lasting consequences. If Chávez were to triumph in the polls,... more ››