October 5, 2012

Win or Lose, Capriles May Win

Andres Oppenheimer, Miami Herald

AP Photo

If Capriles gets close to 50 percent of the vote, he will play his cards well, and will not allow his political momentum to evaporate. He is not likely to cry fraud if he loses by a margin that he can’t dispute, because doing so would encourage a widespread perception within the anti-Chavez movement that Venezuela’s elections are rigged, and that would lead many to stay at home for the December 16 governors’ elections, and for the April 2013 mayoral elections. The odds are against Capriles, but he has better chances than any previous opposition leader to succeed Chavez. Win or lose on Sunday, he could still win in the end.

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TAGGED: Hugo Chavez, Venezuela, Henrique Capriles

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