Set aside the Israeli and Hamas claims and counterclaims. Ignore the speculation that Benjamin Netanyahu upped the ante in Gaza as part of his re-election campaign or that he saw a window of opportunity on Gaza that Barack Obama denied him on Iran. Look instead at the big picture. As part of the negotiated ceasefire, the Israeli offensive on Gaza has, of course, achieved promises of respite from rockets hitting Israel. But will it prove something other than previous counterproductive Israeli actions against Hamas, Hezbollah and Palestinians in general?