November 22, 2012

Planning for China's 'Fall'

Michael Auslin, The Diplomat

AP Photo

Should China’s new leadership merely muddle along for the next decade, then the next turnover of power in 2022 may take place under much more unsettled and less promising conditions. How will the PLA respond to a China that is growing weaker on the world stage or one whose goals are being frustrated by other nations? Will the leadership stick together if growth continues to slow or debt loads increase such that financial crises plague the nation in the coming years? These are questions to which Western and Asian governments should be paying close attention, and they should be figuring out which metrics are most important for understanding China’s current trajectory. Given the amount of information coming out of the country regarding potential problems, there is no excuse for being...

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November 16, 2012
Don't Expect Reform from China's New Leaders
David Shambaugh, WaPo
With the unveiling of China’s new leadership, observers and journalists the world over are all contemplating the same question: Will the new group at the top of the Communist Party be able to engineer the reforms needed to... more ››
November 16, 2012
China's New Chief Has Reform in His DNA
Jon Huntsman, Today
On Nov 8, as the 18th Party Congress gathered in Beijing to anoint a new president, China entered a new era. The past three-and-a-half decades have been defined by the influence of Deng Xiaoping. Deng, who came to power in 1978,... more ››
November 16, 2012
China's New Leaders Can't Rule by Pedigree
Christian Science Monitor
Xi Jinping, the new leader of the Communist Party, takes power along with others as descendants of Mao's revolutionary elite. But China needs rulers open to change, not those who cling to hereditary privilege. more ››