November 30, 2012

Is a Coup Brewing in Afghanistan?

Steve Coll, New Yorker

AP Photo

The prevailing assumption within NATO governments, including the reëlected Obama Administration, is that while the military transition might work, the political transition from a Karzai-led government in Kabul to something new looks perilous. Presidential elections have been scheduled for early 2014, and President Karzai has declared that he intends to transfer power peacefully to a successor, following a national election. But holding a credible vote in 2014, managing the Taliban’s resistance to it, and finding candidates who, if elected, could hold together some minimally stable coalition of northern warlords and militias, Pashtun tribes, generals, and urban power brokers looks, well, hard.

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TAGGED: Hamid Karzai, Afghanistan

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