December 7, 2012

West Must Prepare for Syrian Endgame

Shashank Joshi, Daily Telegraph

AP Photo

Over the past century, civil wars have been getting longer. Between 1900 and 1944, they tended to last just one and a half years. By 1999, they stretched to an average of 15. Will Syria, like Libya’s eight-month revolution, defy this trend and wrap things up within two years? Or, like Lebanon next door, is it fated to be a catastrophic slow-motion implosion that will plague the region long into the future?

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TAGGED: Bashar al-Assad, Syria

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