January 21, 2013

Why China Will Democratize

Thomas P. M. Barnett, Globlogization

AP Photo

NYT story on the 8m college grads that China cranks each year at the cost of about $250B a year. The comparison that comes to mind is the US post-WWII and the remaking of society and politics that ensued (think of all that change across the 1960s and 1970s). Yet another reason why I stick with my prediction that China is democratized by 2030. This article speaks more of economic strengths than challenges, but the real danger (which appears only when you get to the jump page) are the social expectations and - if they are met - the resulting political confidence that will be hard to manage on a mass basis.

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TAGGED: Democracy, China

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