February 13, 2013

5 Ways China Could Become a Democracy

Minxin Pei, The Diplomat

AP Photo

Speculating about China’s possible political futures is an intellectual activity that intrigues some and puzzles many.  The conventional wisdom is that the entrenched Chinese Communist Party (CCP), so determined to defend and perpetuate its political monopoly, has the means to survive for an extended period (though not forever).  A minority view, however, holds that the CCP’s days are numbered.  In fact, a transition to democracy in China in the next 10 to 15 years is a high probability event.   What stands behind this optimistic view about China’s democratic future is accumulated international and historical experience in democratic transitions (roughly 80 countries have made the transition from authoritarian rule to varying forms and degrees of democracy in the past 40...

Read Full Article ››



February 7, 2013
How to Respond to Chinese Cyberattacks?
Gordon Chang, Around Asia
Last week, the Associated Press reported that the National Intelligence Council is working on a new National Intelligence Estimate that will point the finger at the Chinese government for a multi-year campaign of... more ››
February 7, 2013
The Island Fight Nobody Wants
Robert Keatley, The National Interest
Probably nothing could be more damaging to the economies and general tranquility of China and Japan—and the region—than hostilities between them. Yet, spurred by intense and persistent nationalism, the two nations... more ››
February 8, 2013
7 Reasons China and Japan Won't Go to War
Trefor Moss, The Diplomat
Even as tensions between Beijing and Tokyo grow by the day, there are good reasons to believe outright conflict can be avoided. more ››
February 8, 2013
While U.S. Pivots East, China Is 'Marching West'
Yun Sun, Foreign Policy
In November, Barack Obama became the first sitting U.S. president to visit Burma, and the first to visit Cambodia. As part of his administration's pivot to Asia, Obama has ratcheted up his diplomacy with the region. Besides... more ››