May 13, 2014

Why India's Election Is Hard to Predict

Heather Timmons, The Atlantic

The Associated Press

May 12 is the last phase of voting in India’s general election, and over 90 percent of the country’s voters have already gone to the polls. At this late stage in many democratic contests, statistics gurus would be feverishly crunching the exit and opinion-poll numbers to offer up a semi-credible prediction of the results. But India’s national elections have always been more a black box than a horse race, given the influence of local politics and the lack of credible voting analysis.

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TAGGED: Narendra Modi, India

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