While the Obama Administration worries about Iraq’s fate, it might well consider how a similar scenario may play out in Afghanistan in the near term. Afghanistan has yet to sign a Bilateral Security Agreement (BSA) with the U.S., which is scheduled to withdraw all troops by late 2016. If by that time the capabilities of Afghan security forces are not enhanced and relations with Pakistan are not improved, major cities – including Kabul – could be vulnerable to Taliban militants.
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