Americans aren’t going to like this new, triangular system. For starters, it will bring endemic proxy conflict and humanitarian disasters. The ongoing violence in Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Libya will fester and spread. As it does, pressure will mount on whoever occupies the White House to do something. Most of the time, though, “doing something” will mean bombing rather than intervening. This will not stop the violence but only drive it to new corners of the region.
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