As for the point of all this activity – the voters – both sides agree that public opinion can be roughly sliced into three parts. There is a third who will vote to stay within the EU whatever the prime minister does or does not achieve in his renegotiation. There is a third who will vote to leave, regardless of what he comes up with. The outcome will be decided by the third in the middle, who both camps regard as persuadable either way. These crucial swing voters are the spoils being fought over in what will be one of the most drawn-out and defining political battles of modern times.
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