This year's close has conformed to this long-established pattern. In May, Osborne shared the credit for the Conservatives' victory and became the favourite to succeed Cameron as prime minister. But since the tax credits imbroglio, his ratings among both Tory members and the electorate have fallen sharply. His lead over Boris Johnson among the former shrunk from 21 points in September to three, while he led Jeremy Corbyn by the same amount in a recent Opinium survey. The boos he attracted at the London premiere of Star Wars recalled his past humbling.
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