The hope of the Out campaign is that Johnson will side with them to differentiate himself from George Osborne (his chief leadership rival) and win over the anti-EU Tory grassroots. But the smart money is increasingly on the mayor siding with In. He will reportedly be offered the post of foreign secretary (or another senior cabinet job) in return for backing EU membership. Before Christmas, he is said to have told Tory MPs: "The trouble is, I am not an 'outer'".
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