What may make the biggest difference of all will be British voters’ perceptions of the condition of Europe. And just now these are decidedly negative. The campaign to leave will play up Europe’s economic woes, its migration troubles and the crisis over refugees as good reasons to get out of the entire mess. Yet Mr Cameron had one answer to offer in Brussels, when he emphasised the importance to Britain’s domestic and international security of belonging to the EU. In a messy and dangerous world, he implied, going it alone was itself a dangerous option.
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