Australia Chooses Washington Over Beijing

Australia’s reinvigorated emphasis on its naval programs is by far the most expensive and consequential. The 2016 DWP restores targets to purchase 9 future frigates, 12 patrol vessels – and most importantly – 12 submarines to replace the Collins class (up from a previous 8). A fleet of 12 submarines means roughly 6-8 submarines can be deployed at any time. This improvement will allow Australia to make a meaningful contribution to U.S. strategy, which includes deterring conflict over disputed territory, ensuring freedom of navigation, and strengthening the current framework of international maritime law. The 2016 DWP leaves the question of where Australia will get the submarines unanswered, but a purchase of Japan’s Soryu class appears most likely. The Soryu class submarine, with a range of 6,100 nautical miles, will enable an increased capability to exert significant influence in the South China Sea and create another link in the security cooperation between Australia, Japan, and the U.S.