The 30 per cent that Labour still scores in the polls is historic in its awfulness at this point of the cycle and unrealistically flattering at the same time. Deduct seven points for a truer picture of its destiny in 2020. What feels like a crisis will not fully register in electoral outcomes for years yet, and certainly not on Thursday, when victory in London should cloak failures elsewhere and give Mr Corbyn his told-you-so moment. The sun has not even dawned yet on Labour’s landscape of desolation.
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