Here is a confident prediction about the outcome of the EU referendum on June 23. The first result, to be declared at around 1am, will be overwhelmingly in favour of staying in. There will be an 85 per cent turnout – and 88 per cent of voters, or thereabouts, will be for Remain.
But since we are talking about Gibraltar, where the polls will close an hour earlier than here and just 22,000-odd votes need to be counted, it will tell us nothing about what is to come next.
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