A Disaster Was Averted in Turkey

A Disaster Was Averted in Turkey
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Coups introduce a dynamic where there can only be one winner. Coup plotters, once they make their decision to act, have an incentive to fight (and kill) to the very end, since failure usually entails a harsh prison sentence, or worse. In countries already wracked by existential, winner-takes-all politics and deep social polarization, coups, especially if they succeed, are likely to provoke ongoing bloodshed and civil conflict. Whatever one thinks of Erdogan, there is little doubt: As tenuous as Turkey's future remains, a disaster—one that would have had ripple effects across the region—was averted.

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