The Turks, rightly, saw this leak as a calculated American effort to tarnish their credibility. The purpose of the sleight was clear: the Obama administration did not want this incident to become a slippery slope to US involvement in Syria, on the side of Turkey. The downing of the jet, therefore, had to be papered over, and Turkey had to swallow its pride. That was, in effect, the point made by US Chief of Staff, General Martin Dempsey, who admitted publicly that he impressed upon the Turks the importance of not being "provocative."
This display was not lost on the Russians. At the time, the Obama administration was in the middle of its ill-conceived attempt to coax Moscow into supporting a "peaceful transition plan" for Syria. Seeing that the Americans had thrown the Turks under the bus, the Russians piled it on. They upheld the Syrian account, and then rubbed Erdogan's nose in it by offering to provide him with "objective observation data" about the incident. They then advised the Turks not to allow the incident to "ignite passions."
Ambassador Ricciardone's comments on Tuesday repeated Dempsey's message: The US will not support Turkey escalating its response against Syria's provocations.
Riacciardone's comments are a perfect distillation of the US position on Turkey and Syria. After encouraging Turkey to take the lead on the Syria policy, the Obama administration has now opted to leave the Turks alone in facing Assad's Iranian and Russian allies.
The American policy is short sighted. At stake is the balance of power in the region that is favorable to US interests. Iran is marshaling all the elements of its national power to support its Syrian ally and pressure Turkey. By urging restraint on Ankara, Washington is inadvertently helping.
In Moscow, in July 2009, Obama said that powers forging "competing blocs to balance one another" was an antiquated "19th century view." Two months later, he again asserted at the UN General Assembly that "no balance of power among nations will hold."
Power politics may be dead and buried in Washington, but for Assad and his allies, it is alive and well.
