As 2012 wraps up, the Prime Minister has proven a far better politician than she ever was a lawyer. Poll position up. Opposition Leader neutered by flimsy charges of sexism. Press gallery journalists tamed into wide-eyed obeisance, interested more in the PM's bluster than in details of a reprehensible union scandal. Clever.
Clever in the same way Julia Gillard and other Labor Party MPs used that word against John Howard in the lead-up to the 2007 election. Clever was used as a euphemism for devious, tricky, sly.
While Gillard has it all over Howard when it comes to pure political cunning, the PM's problem is that tricks tend to catch up with you, eventually. And the bigger the trick, the more spectacular the fall. Depending on how the AWU scandal plays out, the PM may become our smaller version of Richard Nixon, the former US president who earned the name Tricky Dicky.
Just as with Nixon, Gillard risks being condemned in the court of public opinion more for a cover-up - if that is what transpires - than any original misdemeanor. And that is not so clever.
The political stakes seem to be moving closer to that point each day. To understand why, one needs to understand that the key to Gillard, the politician and the person, is her unshakable sense of self-belief. Her resolute self-confidence means it is enough that Gillard says that she has done no wrong; and to hell with those who dare question her.
To be sure, all successful politicians project towering levels of self-confidence. Think of Bob Hawke, Paul Keating, Howard and, of course, Kevin Rudd. Then there's Gillard. Her soaring self-assurance has seen her, on more than one occasion, act in a way that has damaged her, be it as a lawyer or as a politician.
As a lawyer, Gillard's overconfidence meant she acted for her then union boyfriend when a more prudent lawyer would have handed the matter to another lawyer. She chose not to open a file when a more prudent lawyer would have done so. She chose not to inform her partners about her acting for Wilson and Blewett for the purposes of setting up what she calls a "slush fund". A more prudent lawyer would have been more cognisant of her fiduciary duties to her partners, not to mention her firm's client, the AWU.
As a lawyer, Gillard gave advice about incorporating an association that would use the AWU name even though she knew it was a slush fund for her two friends. A more prudent lawyer would have insisted that the use of the AWU name comply with AWU rules. As a lawyer, Gillard drafted up rules of the association that suggested to West Australian authorities its purpose was workplace safety reform, when she knew it was a "slush fund". A more prudent lawyer would have advised the client not to do so. As a lawyer, Gillard argued to the WA Corporate Affairs Commissioner that the AWU slush fund should not be construed as a trade union. A more prudent lawyer would not have done so. Even when Gillard, the lawyer, knew that the AWU was conducting a major investigation into the alleged fraud committed by Wilson using a Victorian slush fund, Gillard decided not to disclose what she knew about the WA slush fund. A more prudent lawyer, at the very least, would have consulted her partners, rather than wait for her partners to interrogate her. A more prudent lawyer would not have had to leave Slater & Gordon in the circumstances of Gillard's departure.
As a politician, she has revealed an even more bloated level of self-confidence perhaps because politics attracts and encourages narcissists and provides plenty of sycophants to stroke egos.
