Are Western forces willing to sacrifice more than 300 soldiers a year? In 2010, IED attacks in Afghanistan wounded 3,366 US soldiers. And that was in just one year of the war.
And of course Americans are going to accidentally kill Palestinians, both fighters and unarmed civilians. As of February 2013, between 17,000 and 19,000 civilians died in Afghanistan. This then would create a blood feud.
And by the way, many of these people will blame Israel.
Think along the lines of Afghanistan.
The US has informed President Hamid Karzai that it is withdrawing its forces. Karzai is not happy with that, and he wants to reject the deal. Again, can Israel rely on American defense even if it accepts it? Recently, the US has betrayed the following countries; Egypt (wanting to support a Muslim Brotherhood government); Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Turkey (supporting their side in the Syrian civil war). And it has left a mess in Iraq. Do you think at this moment Israel is going to trust the US? Consider this, too: what will happen when the US soldiers come back in body bags? How long will the US commitment last before dumping an independent Palestinian state on Israel? Remember there will be Turks, Iranians, Arabs, Islamists and Palestinians who will not to accept the solution or who will continue fighting. And sooner or later, the US would leave the new state and leave Israel with a mess.
Given all the above, such a solution cannot possibly work. I cannot conceive that people do not look forward in this way and rather seem to be guided by wishful thinking that the conflict will end suddenly.
It is no accident that Israel has never been willing to trust its security to a third party. This is a roadmap for increased conflict. For example, is the US air force going to bomb a building in Gaza that is an open headquarters for Gaza rocket and terrorist attacks? Will it aggressively go after foreign fighters, even if those foreign fighters have attacked Americans? Will it send them to Guantanamo Bay? Will it respond to criticism in the UN? May I point out that US counter- terrorism policy has not been very aggressive of late? Think Benghazi.
The US will then have two choices: 1. The US helps Israel, albeit with constant opposition, and alienates the Arab and Iranian and Turkish world. 2. The US will gradually get tired of the burden and walk away from it.
In other words, Israel would not benefit from what can only be called "ObamaStrategicCare."
If you like it, no matter what you've heard, you can keep your strategic patron or plan, you can keep your ally (Obama), and you'll save money. No one will be able to take that away from you.
