Gordon Brown’s government seems to be suffering its death throes. The biggest recession in postwar history. Criminal investigations of MPs who fiddled their expenses. Fewer votes than the UK Independence party in the European elections. Mass resignations of ministers. But even if Mr Brown were to resign tomorrow, the earliest a general election can happen is October; the latest is May next year. This government will be a long time a-dying.
Most commentators assume that whenever the election happens it will be won by the Conservatives. The Labour party had its worst performance in the recent elections since 1910. As in the 1990s, the electorate is sick of the incumbent party. Just as the Labour party had young, telegenic Tony Blair in 1997, so the Tories today have young, telegenic David Cameron.
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