Much of the speculation about whether Lebanon might be plunged into renewed strife in the months ahead revolves around the impact of the anticipated indictments by the Special Tribunal for Lebanon (STL) that was established by the United Nations to hold accountable those who murdered former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri and 22 other people on February 14, 2005. The international investigation has apparently generated enough evidence for the STL to say that it will hand down its indictments in the coming months. Beyond that, most of what is said about the investigation and the indictments – and their consequences – is speculation.
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