Arab Iraq is getting weaker. Baghdad has no government, no leadership, and continues to be plagued with devastating bomb attacks and daily killings. It is almost irreparably divided, the victim of ideological rifts and a regional proxy conflict. There is, however, one group who will be smiling despite all this: Iraq's Kurds.
A weak Baghdad equates with certainty and unassailable fortune for the Kurdistan region. History teaches that a damaged Baghdad poses no armed threat to Kurdistan's borders, while a divided Baghdad means Kurdistan is left to its own devices as it maximises its economic and energy resource potential. It was a similar set of circumstances that gave the Kurds their best catch in history: the uncertainty and disorganisation in Baghdad in 2003 paved the way for the current Iraqi constitution, one that, thanks to an elite circle of internationally renowned advisers, gave the Kurds far-reaching federalism bordering on independence.
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