Russian policy on Syria might seem planned and coherent, but a closer look shows that Moscow has no end-game for Syria’s unrest, and is improvising its stances as events unfold.
Moscow has a clear interest in the survival of the regime of President Bashar Assad, a major importer of Russian arms. Syria reportedly buys 10 percent of Russia’s annual arms exports at a cost of $1 billion. In Libya, Russian arms makers lost close to $4 billion in contracts with the downfall of Moammar Gadhafi. Moscow is keen to prevent a repeat in Syria.
But arms sales may not be the only motive behind Russia’s support for Assad.
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