Taken together, Madrid's latest apparent bout of intransigence was more than completely predictable. Its inevitability, and how to respond to it, was a discussion point in Government circles and Westminster within a matter of weeks of the referendum result coming out. What has been more surprising has been the level of official emollience up to now – we were expecting strategic silence up to the last minute rather than the friendly and cooperative noises that latterly flowed under Prime Minister Rajoy. But then his Government collapsed. For the current tidal action in policy, domestic politics is responsible.
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