A series of opinion polls published in recent days have shown something unprecedented in British politics: four parties locked in a statistical tie. The UK vote is now split evenly between the long-dominant incumbents — Labour and the Conservatives — and two challengers harnessing a Brexit backlash — the Liberal Democrats and the Brexit Party. This four-way dead heat is more than a statistical curiosity: it could be the harbinger of a realignment. The powerful incumbency benefits of our first-past-the-post electoral system, which have long protected Labour and the Conservatives, depend on the established parties maintaining a lead over the upstarts.
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