Failing to invoke Article 5 in the face of an attack on an ally, especially a conventional one, would shatter the alliance’s credibility. Article 5 must be sacrosanct. If it is undermined in one scenario, it is undermined in all scenarios. Adversaries and allies alike must believe that an attack on a member will result in a forceful response from NATO. Failure to come to Ukraine’s defense would agonize the Baltics and could embolden Moscow, who would rightly wonder whether NATO capitals further West would be willing to fight there if they were not for Ukraine.
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