Airstrikes Alone Won’t Stop a Nuclear Iran

In October 2024, Iran threatened to abandon the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and pursue a nuclear weapon if attacked by Israel. If history and early assessments of Israeli and U.S. strikes are any indication, Iran was not bluffing. It is likely to pursue the bomb. However, this need not spark a regional arms race if the U.S. stays engaged.

 

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