The 12-day war between Israel and Iran may have paused—but the next round of violence is already taking shape. As of writing this piece, the 12-day war has been halted by a fragile ceasefire—one that could collapse at any moment. While the possibility of renewed hostilities is high, the more pressing question is whether the 12-day war was predictable and whether the continuation of the conflict can be anticipated based on underlying realities.
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