On the first anniversary of the American-mediated Lebanese-Israeli ceasefire, its prognosis is grim, and it remains on life support. Lebanon’s government and armed forces lack both the will and the ability to confront Hezbollah, which operates as a parallel authority inside the state. Without the Lebanese Armed Forces’ (LAF) credible enforcement, the ceasefire is little more than a temporary pause, not a path to durable peace.
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