George Friedman

Author Archive

  • Jun 6, 2023
  • May 30, 2023
    Soon after Josef Stalin signed a mutual defense pact with Adolf Hitler, British Prime Minister Winston Churchill said that Russia was a mystery wrapped in an enigma. Russian military...
  • May 23, 2023
    Last week, I wrote about the major expansion of the U.S.-Philippine alliance, Japanese alignment with Taiwan and possible three-way links with South Korea, and a planned visit by...
  • May 16, 2023
    Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. visited Washington last week, where he signed what is essentially a collective defense agreement. In doing so, he sealed their bilateral...
  • May 10, 2023
    There are too many unknowns to count in the Ukraine war. From the upcoming spring offensive to covert U.S. intelligence operations, mysteries abound. But perhaps none is more...
  • May 3, 2023
    The Philippine coast guard reported last week that two of its ships were involved in a confrontation with the Chinese navy in the South China Sea.
  • Apr 26, 2023
    We are a few weeks away from the anniversary of Victory Day, which marks the Soviet Union’s defeat of Nazi Germany. The annual parade in Moscow boasts
  • Apr 19, 2023
    In recent weeks I have focused on the social and economic evolution of the United States. Obviously, we also need to discuss U.S. strategic policy.
  • Apr 17, 2023
    The article I published earlier this week about the intensifying crisis in the United States generated a significant number of comments that ought to be
  • Apr 12, 2023
    The current political system cannot manage this situation. A solution must emerge now, to be presided over by the next president. It is impossible to explain all the details of a...
  • Apr 5, 2023
    The massive spring offensive against Ukraine that Russia threatened has not materialized. This does not mean it won’t happen, but it raises serious
  • Mar 28, 2023
    I recently rose from a slumber to discover that many of the learned had risen up to declare the U.S. war in Iraq not only a failure but also a misbegotten
  • Mar 16, 2023
    Editor’s note: By definition, geopolitics moves slowly. It’s a drawn-out explanation for the long-term trajectory of nations, one that all too often gets
  • Mar 7, 2023
    The Russian government has informed Hungary that its diplomats entering Russia will have to pay a fee rather than pass into Russia without paying for
  • Feb 28, 2023
    There has been a great deal of discussion about Chinese military aid to Russia. The United States warned Beijing against sending such aid, and Beijing
  • Feb 21, 2023
    I recently wrote about Russian preparations for a major offensive in Ukraine: a pincer movement that would close Ukrainian forces in from the north and
  • Feb 15, 2023
    The relationship between nations is always complex and sometimes difficult to understand. Sometimes it enters the realm of the bizarre. And then, at the
  • Feb 7, 2023
    The United States has kept the front intact by introducing new weapons. The current weakness of the Ukrainian army is due to a lack of longer-range rockets that could strike the...
  • Feb 1, 2023
    Over the past few days, two senior U.S. officials – Gen. Mike Minihan, the head of the U.S. Air Force Mobility Command, and Michael McCaul, the chairman
  • Jan 11, 2023
    Last week, Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. visited President Xi Jinping in China, where they agreed to cooperate in peace and security operations and in developing gas and...
  • Jan 10, 2023
    In working on GPF’s Annual Forecast recently, I was looking for ways to measure national power and differentiate countries with large mouths from