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Nov 26, 2025
President Donald Trump’s new peace ploy in Ukraine will likely fail. He has a chance, in the coming months, to craft an approach that might succeed.
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Nov 25, 2025
For years, I thought that China’s strategy for taking Taiwan was failing. I’m not so sure anymore.
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Nov 17, 2025
A disordered world tests multinational corporations as well as diplomats. Amid trade wars and real wars, great-power struggles and vicious crises, geopolitical and geoeconomic...
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Nov 4, 2025
US presidents have long pledged to prioritize the Western Hemisphere — to put the Americas First, so to speak. Donald Trump is doing it today. The world waits to see...
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Oct 29, 2025
President Donald Trump relishes power — its relentless accumulation at home; its bold, assertive use abroad. For 10 months, he has aggressively wielded US power to renegotiate...
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Oct 20, 2025
Historians may record these recent weeks as the moment when our new age of economic warfare got very real indeed.
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Oct 16, 2025
Donald Trump has a knack for raising big strategic questions. The US president is massing military power in the Caribbean; he’s reportedly on the verge of approving a military...
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Oct 9, 2025
For decades, Europe exemplified post-Cold War peace. Today, it confronts enduring, escalating war. The coda to President Donald Trump’s peace talks with Russian President...
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Oct 2, 2025
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Sep 29, 2025
Few developments have mattered so much, for so many people, as the global rise of democracy.
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Sep 26, 2025
Europe, geographically speaking, is a small peninsula protruding from a much larger landmass, Eurasia. Today, the continent feels small indeed.
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Sep 15, 2025
History is moving fast these days: The global order is shifting in real time. Just consider the course of the past two weeks. A series of events, in places from Beijing to Georgia,...
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Sep 9, 2025
If you want a glimpse of a changing global order, go to Singapore. That’s what I did last month, when I served as the S. Rajaratnam Professor of Strategic Studies at the...
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Aug 13, 2025
Great-power competitions are fundamentally technological contests: The country that sets the pace in an era’s key technologies tends to set that era’s rules.
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Aug 8, 2025
With high tariffs and asymmetric trade deals, President Donald Trump is remaking the global economy. He’s also re-engineering US global leadership. Trump’s gamble is that...
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Jul 31, 2025
In his first term as president, Donald Trump made the new cold war consensus on China — the broad bipartisan agreement that Beijing is America’s most dangerous...
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Jul 29, 2025
Nothing lasts forever: Every international order finds its end. Pax Romana stabilized the greater Mediterranean world, until decline set in. The British global order flourished in...
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Jul 17, 2025
President Donald Trump has always had his Nixonian characteristics, from a power-hungry (sometimes illegal) mode of operations at home to a desire to rebalance the burdens and...
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Jul 9, 2025
Nearly six months into Donald Trump’s presidency, a Trump Doctrine is coming into view. Contrary to the fears of his critics, and the hopes of some admirers, Trump is no...
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Jul 3, 2025
It’s useful to be reminded, occasionally, that there’s only one superpower. Operation Midnight Hammer, the globe-spanning strike against Iran’s nuclear program, was...
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Jun 25, 2025
Why is the globe’s greatest military alliance so often in crisis? President Donald Trump’s reelection last November, and Vice President JD Vance’s deliberately...
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Jun 19, 2025
The struggle between Iran and Israel isn’t one war. It is three globally significant wars all at once. Israel is waging a war for the Middle East, a war for nuclear...
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Jun 18, 2025
Israel’s attack on Iran opens the next phase of the Great Middle Eastern War that began on Oct. 7, 2023. Over the past 20 months, that war has played out on fronts...
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Jun 13, 2025
The Donald Trump administration’s most recent round of trade talks with China has ended, but the great export-control debate is just getting underway.
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Jun 5, 2025
The US-Japan alliance has never been more important or stronger. And rarely has it faced greater uncertainties or dangers. That’s the paradoxical takeaway from my trip last...
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May 26, 2025
The crucial test of President Donald Trump’s Ukraine policy was always going to come when he realized that something he thought was easy — brokering a peace agreement...
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May 20, 2025
Nuclear weapons focus the mind. So when India and Pakistan fight, the world watches, because any clash between the two could become the first nuclear war since 1945.
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May 12, 2025
President Donald Trump’s team has achieved one “reverse Kissinger”: By adding the national security adviser’s job to his duties as secretary of state,...
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May 1, 2025
Of all today’s crises and conflicts, the US-China rivalry will most fundamentally remake our world.
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Apr 29, 2025
Donald Trump anointed himself, in his second inaugural, as the world’s “peacemaker.” Just three months later, his presidency is consumed by conflict. The coming...
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Apr 24, 2025
With a single Truth, President Donald Trump’s global trade brawl became a US-China cage match. On Wednesday afternoon, Trump announced that he was further elevating...
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Apr 5, 2025
Sometimes, a small incident reveals larger truths about our world. Consider reports that some North Atlantic Treaty Organization allies are rethinking plans to buy...
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Apr 1, 2025
It was a “naughty document,” Winston Churchill admitted. In October 1944, the British prime minister proposed that he and Soviet ruler Joseph Stalin avert postwar...
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Mar 19, 2025
Amid the institutional carnage of the first two months of the Donald Trump’s return to the presidency, few Americans will notice the demise of the Office of Net Assessment....
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Mar 11, 2025
Presidential power, wrote Harvard scholar Richard Neustadt, “is the power to persuade.” Lately, President Donald Trump has tried to persuade Americans that...
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Mar 4, 2025
The spectacle of President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance publicly dressing down Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskiy in the Oval Office is a sad chapter in the annals of...
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Feb 26, 2025
Donald Trump has already transformed the American political order. Not since Ronald Reagan has a president so dominated the national landscape or shifted its ideological terrain. In...
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Feb 21, 2025
Sometimes a fight reflects badly on everyone. Consider the Meltdown in Munich — the cluster of transatlantic meetings around the Munich Security Conference over the...
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Feb 20, 2025
President Donald Trump might not actually grab Greenland by force. Perhaps he won’t send the Marines into Panama to reclaim control of the canal, or deploy the 82nd Airborne...
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Feb 11, 2025
The post-Cold War era wasn’t supposed to end like this. The pay­off from the free world’s victory in the superpower struggle was an imbal­ance of power more...
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Feb 10, 2025
Donald Trump’s presidency is raising fundamental questions about US foreign policy. Will America revive its old tradition of territorial expansion? Will it ignite a...
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Feb 5, 2025
President Donald Trump has come out firing, with a fusillade of policy actions and executive orders meant to reshape America’s approach to the world. In doing so, Trump has...
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Jan 27, 2025
What about the other coalition? Even at the acme of their conquests, Axis leaders knew their path to victory was narrow. “All the bowstrings of the Tripartite Pact community...
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Jan 24, 2025
America’s TikTok saga — the drama over whether the popular video-sharing app will be banned or saved — has many intriguing dimensions. It involves questions...
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Jan 22, 2025
When Donald Trump first won the presidency, the world had a bit of a freak-out. The French ambassador to the US melted down on social media. Germany’s Angela Merkel...
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Jan 18, 2025
In a 1942 essay, George Orwell wrote of the folly of refusing to believe that the most terrifying geopolitical nightmares can come true:
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Jan 14, 2025
Donald Trump isn’t even president yet, and he’s already giving US foreign policy a 19th century feel. The president-elect has spent the weeks before his inauguration...
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Jan 8, 2025
The coming year won’t be easy for US foreign policy. President Donald Trump will face a maelstrom of crises, from a deteriorating situation in Ukraine to an advancing Iranian...
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Jan 8, 2025
“Practical men who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist,” John Maynard Keynes...
Jan 24, 2025America’s TikTok saga — the drama over whether the popular video-sharing app will be banned or saved — has many intriguing dimensions. It involves questions...