Sep 11, 2023
Ukraine Can Still Win the War Against Russia
The most obvious reason to continue to support Ukraine is that it is the object of naked territorial aggression and humanitarian punishment.
Jul 11, 2023
Ukraine Will Outlast Russia
So there are six ways Russia might turn the war around. All are unlikely, and three rely on foreign behavior – over which Putin has little control – dramatically changing.
Jul 10, 2023
Does Russia Have Any Way To Win the Ukraine War?
I see six Russian possibilities to win in Ukraine. Unfortunately, most are unlikely as they require major changes in well-established behavior, by either Russia or outside parties.
Jul 6, 2023
Ukraine Has No Chance of a ‘Blitzkrieg’ Victory
Ukraine recently launched a counter-offensive against Russia’s invasion. That push has not succeeded as well as many had hoped.
Jun 26, 2023
Russia Has Lost the War in Ukraine
Putin will withdraw from Ukraine – will give up and go home – when the war’s costs dramatically exceed its benefits. The war is already balance-negative and only...
May 10, 2023
Making the South Korea-Japan Rapprochement Last
South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol has prioritized fixing South Korea’s relationship with Japan. Since taking office last spring, he has made a concerted...
Apr 19, 2023
Putin Has a Plan to Get Of His 'Unwinnable' Ukraine War
Putin can force the Ukraine war on his population given the power of the repressive apparatus. But more than anything, he needs to win the war and go home to reconstitute his...
Jan 17, 2023
Will South Korea Build Nuclear Weapons?
The debate on nuclearization in South Korea itself is culminating. South Korea public opinion is supportive. How should America respond?
Jan 3, 2023
North Korean Nuclear Threat Creating Regional Arms Race
This last year was one of near-constant North Korea missile testing. Dozens of launches have put the region on edge and are driving an increasingly militarized...
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