Seth J. Frantzman

Author Archive

  • Jul 30, 2026
    After the founding of Israel, Turkey became the first Muslim-majority country to recognize Israel. Israel and Turkey had good relations until the rise of the AKP party in the early...
  • Jul 15, 2026
    For Israel, there is no real strategic or tactical need to keep up the friction with Syrian villages along the buffer zone - and a re-think may be necessary in the future.  
  • Jul 9, 2026
    Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa arrived in Ankara on July 8 to participate in meetings on the sidelines of an important NATO Summit. This comes after a two-day visit by...
  • Jul 6, 2026
    Hamas might be open to dissolving its government in Gaza, according to reports on Sunday and Monday. Hamas might “hand over” governance or “announce...
  • Jun 22, 2026
    The slow war in Lebanon, based on a doctrine from Gaza, has resulted in leaving Hezbollah in the field just miles from Israel's northern border.  
  • Jun 8, 2026
    Iran's strikes on Israel are not so much a response to strikes on Beirut as they are Iran's attempt at clawing back regional power and influence.  
  • May 14, 2026
    Beijing has been treading carefully in the region. It doesn’t want to be involved in conflict. Let’s examine five reasons the US-China meetings matter for the...
  • May 6, 2026
    Hezbollah entered Syria in large numbers around 2012-2013 via the city of Qusayr, with its role in Syria diminishing since the fall of the Assad regime.
  • May 5, 2026
    A month of a shaky ceasefire has provided Tehran the opportunity to husband its resources and begin to think of new tactics and strategy.
  • Apr 13, 2026
    The blockade was set to begin at 10 a.m. Eastern Time, which is in the afternoon in Iran. Whether this marks a bold new strategy or a sign the US is grasping at straws remains to be...
  • Mar 4, 2026
    Iran’s reckless strikes on the Gulf States are consolidating regional opposition to the Islamic Republic.  
  • Feb 13, 2026
    A report at Reuters on February 11 said that private contractors from a security firm that was previously involved in securing the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation sites could...
  • Jan 26, 2026
    Over the last month, there have been growing reports of a rift between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.  Nothing in this story is simplistic. While...
  • Jan 22, 2026
    “Once this board is completely formed, we can do pretty much whatever we want to do. And we’ll do it in conjunction with the United Nations,” Trump said in...
  • Jan 15, 2026
    Iran's foreign minister claimed that “terrorist elements from the outside” were seeking to drag the US into a conflict.  
  • Jan 12, 2026
    The collapse of Iran’s regional influence in 2025 has opened up a new spectrum of potential conflicts in Syria, Yemen, and Lebanon that will define 2026.