Hassan Rouhani and Western Self-Delusion

By G. William Heiser & Amir Abbas Fakhravar
September 29, 2013

The prevailing narrative in the Western media regarding the new president of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Hassan Rouhani, is reminiscent of the optimistic assessment of Ayatollah Khomeini by the Jimmy Carter administration. President Carter's ambassador to the UN, Andrew Young, said that Khomeini will eventually be hailed as a saint; President Carter's ambassador to Iran, William Sullivan, observed that Khomeini was a Gandhi-like figure. Khomeini was seen by the administration at that time as a man of impeccable integrity and honesty. Today, of course, the gravity of this historic mistake and its consequences are self-evident.

Yet, we again are bearing witness to a similar self-deception as President Rouhani is presented to Western publics as a moderate leader possessing charm and humility; a man of vision for a new, free Iran who wishes to pursue a constructive dialogue with the West. This is another historic mistake in the making, the consequences of which -- a nuclear-armed Iran -- will be catastrophic not only for the Iranian people but for the region and the international community.

Tehran has done its best to reinforce the view that Rouhani represents a major shift in the strategic direction in the Islamic Republic. In a seemingly humanitarian effort, for example, political prisoners close to the so-called reformist faction of the Islamic Republic were released only days before Rouhani's arrival in New York for the annual UN General Assembly. Even Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei recently displayed an unprecedented tolerance of the United States. Aware of the West's deep mistrust of him and his role in the current stalemate over the Islamic Republic's nuclear program, Khamenei announced that it was time for what he described as "heroic leniency" with respect to direct talks with the United States. Rouhani himself is quoted as saying that in its nuclear program, this government enters with full power and has complete authority.

The White House announced that President Obama is willing to meet with President Rouhani. President Obama noted in an interview with Telemundo that there are indications that President Rouhani is somebody who is looking to open a dialogue with the West and with the United States in a way that we haven't seen in the past. And therefore President Obama believes that the United States should test it.

Many in the Western media have convinced themselves that there is a genuine opportunity to resolve the nuclear issue with the arrival of Hassan Rouhani. Few, apparently, are willing to review Rouhani's statements, especially those made during his recent presidential campaign, which reveal the strategy of the Islamic Republic in dealing with the international community on its nuclear program. During the last presidential election, the so-called hardliners were critical of Rouhani's candidacy and accused him of being too soft on the West when he was serving as the Islamic Republic's chief nuclear negotiator from 2003 to 2005. The sharpest criticisms were aimed at his agreement to suspend all enrichment activities in what was called the Saadabad agreement.

In an interview on Iranian state television on May 27, 2013, Hassan Rouhani refuted the allegations that he had overseen the curtailment of uranium enrichment activities and in so doing outlined the strategy the Tehran regime had pursued, its results and the major tasks that he believes lie ahead.

Rouhani began by observing that the basic principle for the regime is to turn a threat into an opportunity. He pointed out that the policy during his tenure, under the supervision of the Supreme Leader, when he was the representative of the Supreme Leader (Khamenei) in the Supreme National Security Council, was to thwart the threats and counter the conspiracies of the United States. According to Rouhani, the United States wanted for Iran what he claimed the U.S. had done to Libya. He insisted that while the U.S. wanted the regime's knowledge in the nuclear field to remain incomplete and for the regime to surrender all that technical knowledge, the regime was looking for an opportunity to complete this nuclear technology.

Rouhani was quite specific in saying that the day the regime invited the foreign ministers of Britain, France and Germany to Tehran only ten centrifuges were spinning in Natanz. He specifically stated that, "We could not produce even one gram of UF4 (uranium tetrafluoride) or UF6 (uranium hexafluoride). We did not have heavy water. We could not produce yellowcake. Our production of centrifuges in the entire country totaled 150. We needed time."

Rouhani asserted that there were no agreements in Saadabad or in the Tehran negotiations. What resulted was called the Tehran Declaration. In the Tehran Declaration, the resolution was that everything should be halted. But Rouhani emphasized that "We did not allow it. We only halted productivity of those ten centrifuges in Natanz."


Then Rouhani proceeded to boast that "We completed the UCF (Uranium Conversion Facility in Isfahan). Do you know when it was inaugurated? We did the negotiations in October 2003. Do you know when the first phase of the UCF was inaugurated? April 2004. Do you know when the next phase was inaugurated? The fall of 2004. Do you know when it was completed? April 2005. Do you know when we started producing heavy water? The summer of 2004. Do you know when yellowcake was produced? In winter of 2004. Do you know when our centrifuges were increased to 3000? The winter of 2004. We halted it?! We completed the technology! We created the opportunity! When I say we, I mean the regime, not Hassan Rouhani. When I say we, I mean the Supreme Leadership. It means all of us unified. This is what the leadership was talking about when he declared twelve days after the negotiations that the conspiracy of America and Israel has been shattered. We completed the nuclear technology meaning we created the necessary opportunity (time) so that the UCF could be completed, UF4 could be produced, and UF6 could be produced. When I left my position (as the chief nuclear negotiator), we had over 1700 operating centrifuges, when I took the position we had 150."

After reciting his role in advancing the regime's nuclear program, Hassan Rouhani addressed the major tasks he faces in 2013. He noted that the enemy (the United States) has taken the file to the Security Council. What needs to be done now? Rouhani said, "The file (nuclear) has to be removed from the UN Security Council (agenda). The vicious sanctions have to be terminated. Today we need to negotiate not with ministers but with the heads of the five states (referring to the UN Security Council)."

It is clear from Hassan Rouhani's own statements and, as Ali Larijani, Speaker of the Islamic Republic's Parliament, confirmed last week, the Islamic Republic has no intention of changing its strategy and is only changing its tactics. The truth is that Hassan Rouhani shares former President Ahmadinejad's antagonism toward the United States and Israel, but has the political acumen not to publicize it. He has said once before "The beautiful slogan of death to America has created unity in our nation (read within the regime)." Like Ahmadinejad, Rouhani has every intention to complete the Islamic Republic's nuclear program, but he intends to do so through deceit, not threats. Hassan Rouhani's government is no more democratic and humanitarian than Ahmadinejad's. Executions continue apace, political prisoners are still tortured and remain in confinement and religious minorities are still persecuted. The regime's judiciary symbolically releases a few of its political prisoners in a token gesture to mask the oppression that still exists in Iran and to further contribute to the illusion that Rouhani is about to usher in a new, cooperative chapter in U.S.-Iran relations -- a change in direction that President Rouhani knows President Obama greatly desires.

Let us not lose sight of the fact that the change in Tehran's tactics we are witnessing is the result of one thing only: comprehensive sanctions on the Islamic Republic's oil and gas industry that have emptied the coffers of Khamenei's regime. It is the fear of the regime's own demise that has prompted Rouhani and his cabinet to appear moderate, charming and humble, rather than genuine concern for the people of Iran.

Rouhani's self-proclaimed mission is to convince the West to lift the existing sanctions. To that end, he is authorized and prepared to offer sweet economic deals, the likes of which have not previously been offered to Western European companies. But make no mistake, Hassan Rouhani is not authorized or prepared to allow the Islamic Republic's nuclear program to deviate from its intended path.

Continued steadfast bipartisan support in the U.S. House and Senate for comprehensive sanctions against the Iranian regime, together with the support of our allies, offer the only hope of resolving the Iranian nuclear issue peacefully. Congressman Ed Royce, Chairman of the U.S. House Foreign Affairs Committee, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu appropriately reminded the Obama administration of the eerily similar situation with North Korea in September 2005. After a two year stand-off over North Korea's nuclear program, in what was called at the time a "landmark" agreement, a preliminary agreement was signed by all parties. North Korea would end its pursuit of nuclear weapons, rejoin the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and readmit IAEA inspectors. Other signatories would, in turn, provide security guarantees, energy infrastructure and aid. In July 2006, North Korea conducted ballistic missile tests. In October 2006, it detonated a nuclear explosive device.

Let us operate under no illusions when dealing with the new face of the Iranian regime. When asked by reporters while he was in exile and powerless what kind of government he envisioned for Iran, Khomeini answered, "a democratic republic such as the one in France." When he was reminded of this answer after he had seized power in Iran and the obvious dissimilarities between the Islamic Republic and the government in France, Khomeini said,"khod'eh kardam." Literal translation: "I deceived." Hassan Rouhani, himself a cleric, must be familiar with this term. Khoda'a means deception and in Shia terminology whenever a priority or purpose supersedes the sin of lying and deceiving, then that deception or Khoda'a is not only allowed but required. If Khomeini was the father of the Islamic Revolution, Rouhani is the legitimate son of the Islamic Revolution. As they say, the apple doesn't fall far from the tree.

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